$KalshiOS
Prediction Market Intelligence Layer
CA:
E3228BNQjs6AyDDUDDVCVZTPVrYXL3kindatxMjWpump
Prediction Market Intelligence Layer
KalshiOS operates as the intelligence layer for the global prediction economy. By synthesizing on-chain liquidity data with off-chain real-world events, it creates a unified operating system for speculative intelligence.
Our architecture leverages autonomous agents to aggregate probability streams, providing users with a high-fidelity, noise-reduced interface to navigate and hedge against future outcomes in a trustless environment.
Total Supply
1.0B
Fixed Supply
Taxes
0/0
No Bullshit
Liquidity
Burnt
100% Locked
Ticker
$KOS
KalshiOS
Patch Notes (Roadmap)
v1.0: Boot Sequence
System initialization on Pump.fun. Establishing liquidity uplink and forming the initial user base community.
v2.0: System Upgrade
Deploying CEX integration protocols. Executing viral marketing algorithms to reach 10,000 active nodes (holders).
v3.0: Global Overwrite
Complete system dominance. KalshiOS becomes the default operating layer for decentralized prediction markets.
Live Markets
LIVE REAL TIME
● Wallet Not Connected
Super Bowl Champion 2026
Volume: $654,129,470
End: 08 Feb 2026, 12:00
Created: 30 Apr 2025, 10:43
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting the winner of the NFL Super Bowl for the 2025/26 season.
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
UEFA Champions League Winner
Volume: $166,350,920
End: 31 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 21 Jul 2025, 20:58
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League (soccer).
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
English Premier League Winner
Volume: $155,584,845
End: 27 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 21 Jul 2025, 21:12
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 English Premier League (soccer).
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2026 NBA Champion
Volume: $140,187,017
End: 01 Jul 2026, 00:00
Created: 19 Jun 2025, 18:23
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market is to predict the winner of the 2025–26 NBA Finals.
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Volume: $50,637,378
End: 20 Jul 2026, 00:00
Created: 02 Jul 2025, 16:54
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
La Liga Winner
Volume: $50,304,922
End: 30 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 21 Jul 2025, 21:26
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 La Liga (soccer).
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ravens vs. Steelers
Volume: $10,884,060
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens".
If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens".
If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Ravens vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 21.5
NBA MVP
Volume: $7,764,939
End: 10 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 16 Jul 2025, 16:03
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting the winner of the NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) award for the 2025–26 NBA regular season.
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Warriors vs. Clippers
Volume: $5,825,518
End: 06 Jan 2026, 03:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".
If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".
If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)
College Football Champion 2026
Volume: $5,764,057
End: 20 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 02 Jul 2025, 16:23
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on which team will win the 2026 College Football National Championship.
Will Texas win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Nuggets vs. 76ers
Volume: $5,414,265
End: 06 Jan 2026, 01:30
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 8:30PM ET:
If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".
If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".
If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)
Knicks vs. Pistons
Volume: $5,246,970
End: 06 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Knicks win, the market will resolve to "Knicks".
If the Pistons win, the market will resolve to "Pistons".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Cade Cunningham: Points Over 28.5
Grizzlies vs. Lakers
Volume: $4,601,876
End: 05 Jan 2026, 02:30
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 9:30PM ET:
If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".
If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".
If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists Over 2.5
2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion
Volume: $3,691,902
End: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 19 Jun 2025, 18:02
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market is to predict the winner of the 2025–26 NHL Stanley Cup championship.
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Chargers vs. Broncos
Volume: $3,437,533
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers".
If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Chargers wins, the market will resolve to "Chargers".
If Broncos wins, the market will resolve to "Broncos".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Bo Nix: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5
Timberwolves vs. Wizards
Volume: $3,197,695
End: 04 Jan 2026, 23:00
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
Thunder vs. Suns
Volume: $3,127,209
End: 05 Jan 2026, 01:00
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder".
If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
NFL MVP
Volume: $3,017,594
End: 18 Feb 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Jul 2025, 19:51
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP.
Will C.J. Stroud win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
PDC World Darts Championship Winner
Volume: $2,957,976
End: 03 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 24 Nov 2025, 16:25
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
The Paddy Power World Darts Championship is scheduled to take place at London's Alexandra Palace from December 11 until January 3.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the PDC World Darts Championship.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the PDC World Darts Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published on the PDC website (https://www.pdc.tv).
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the PDC World Darts Championship.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the PDC World Darts Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published on the PDC website (https://www.pdc.tv).
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?
NFC Champion
Volume: $2,840,319
End: 26 Jan 2026, 12:00
Created: 30 Apr 2025, 11:15
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting the winner of the NFC Championship for the 2025-2026 NFL season.
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?
Suns vs. Rockets
Volume: $2,632,613
End: 06 Jan 2026, 01:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".
If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns".
If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price
Volume: $2,614,107
End: -
Created: 24 Dec 2025, 21:29
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final sale price paid for for Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator is greater than the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".
The market will resolve according to the final listed price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on .
The resolution source is Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).
The market will resolve according to the final listed price including any premiums or auction fees included in the listed figure on .
The resolution source is Goldin (See:https://goldin.co/item/logan-paul-personally-owned-1998-pokemon-japanese-corocoro-promo-raretua0w).
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Commanders vs. Eagles
Volume: $2,445,141
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".
If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Commanders wins, the market will resolve to "Commanders".
If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Commanders Team Total: O/U 14.5
Algeria vs. DR Congo
Volume: $2,424,191
End: 06 Jan 2026, 16:00
Created: 03 Jan 2026, 15:47
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This event is for the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 6, 2026 between Algeria and DR Congo.
Will Algeria vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Serie A League Winner
Volume: $2,246,186
End: 28 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Jul 2025, 14:29
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Serie A league (soccer).
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Lions vs. Bears
Volume: $2,238,448
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions".
If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions".
If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 58.5
Nuggets vs. Nets
Volume: $2,211,456
End: 04 Jan 2026, 20:30
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 3:30PM ET:
If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".
If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets".
If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 223.5
Pelicans vs. Heat
Volume: $2,153,132
End: 04 Jan 2026, 23:00
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 6:00PM ET:
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 244.5
AFC Champion
Volume: $1,902,309
End: 26 Jan 2026, 12:00
Created: 30 Apr 2025, 11:21
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting the winner of the AFC Championship for the 2025-2026 NFL season.
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?
Colts vs. Texans
Volume: $1,895,694
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts".
If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts".
If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Colts Team Total: O/U 13.5
2026 Men's Australian Open Winner
Volume: $1,859,524
End: 01 Feb 2026, 00:00
Created: 23 Dec 2025, 19:50
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Australian Open?
Dolphins vs. Patriots
Volume: $1,777,520
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".
If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".
If Patriots wins, the market will resolve to "Patriots".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Patriots Team Total: O/U 26.5
Bulls vs. Celtics
Volume: $1,761,988
End: 06 Jan 2026, 00:30
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls".
If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls".
If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
Chiefs vs. Raiders
Volume: $1,499,713
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".
If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Chiefs wins, the market will resolve to "Chiefs".
If Raiders wins, the market will resolve to "Raiders".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Chiefs vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 18.5
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers
Volume: $1,474,709
End: 06 Jan 2026, 03:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 5 at 10:00PM ET:
If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".
If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".
If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds Over 6.5
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
Volume: $1,431,843
End: 28 Dec 2025, 18:00
Created: 15 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for December 28 at 1:00PM ET:
If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers".
If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers".
If Dolphins wins, the market will resolve to "Dolphins".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
Which teams will make the NBA Playoffs?
Volume: $1,304,254
End: 12 Apr 2026, 21:00
Created: 22 Oct 2025, 03:59
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?
Bundesliga Winner
Volume: $1,290,200
End: 28 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Jul 2025, 14:40
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 Bundesliga (soccer).
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
UEFA Europa League Winner
Volume: $1,250,943
End: 24 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 19 Aug 2025, 17:18
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League.
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Pacers vs. Magic
Volume: $1,167,748
End: 04 Jan 2026, 20:00
Created: 29 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 4 at 3:00PM ET:
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
Volume: $1,138,812
End: 07 Feb 2026, 12:00
Created: 05 May 2025, 19:44
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.
Will Ashton Jeanty be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Champions League: League Phase Winner
Volume: $1,065,780
End: 31 Dec 2025, 00:00
Created: 17 Sep 2025, 20:22
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Union Saint-Gilloise finish first in UCL league phase?
Lakers vs. Pelicans
Volume: $1,057,063
End: 07 Jan 2026, 01:00
Created: 31 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 6 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".
If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Lakers vs. Pelicans: O/U 243.5
Cardinals vs. Rams
Volume: $1,029,774
End: 04 Jan 2026, 05:00
Created: 21 Dec 2025, 13:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for January 4 at 12:00AM ET:
If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals".
If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals".
If Rams wins, the market will resolve to "Rams".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trey McBride: Receiving Yards O/U 68.5
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Volume: $1,023,433
End: 07 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 31 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 6 at 7:00PM ET:
If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".
If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Cavaliers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 114.5
Heat vs. Timberwolves
Volume: $994,892
End: 07 Jan 2026, 01:00
Created: 31 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 6 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".
If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".
If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF
Volume: $925,001
End: 14 Dec 2025, 17:30
Created: 01 Dec 2025, 07:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, December 14, 2025 between Levante UD and Villarreal CF.
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC
Volume: $906,786
End: 08 Jan 2026, 20:00
Created: 26 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Thursday, January 8, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC.
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
French Ligue 1 Winner
Volume: $902,584
End: 30 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Jul 2025, 23:40
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which club will win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1 (soccer).
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
NBA Win Totals: Over or Under?
Volume: $885,477
End: 12 Apr 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Oct 2025, 13:22
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict whether the listed NBA team will win more games than their projected number in the 2025–26 regular season.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins more than their projected number of regular-season games. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the team becomes mathematically unable to exceed their projected win total before the season ends, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 NBA regular season is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins more than their projected number of regular-season games. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the team becomes mathematically unable to exceed their projected win total before the season ends, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 NBA regular season is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will the Atlanta Hawks win more than 47.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Volume: $850,929
End: 07 Jan 2026, 01:00
Created: 31 Dec 2025, 15:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for January 6 at 8:00PM ET:
If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".
If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
Devils vs. Islanders
Volume: $834,990
End: 07 Jan 2026, 00:30
Created: 10 Dec 2025, 16:30
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for January 6 at 7:30PM ET:
If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils".
If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils".
If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Devils vs. Islanders
English Premier League - Top 4 Finish
Volume: $814,890
End: 27 May 2026, 00:00
Created: 27 Aug 2025, 15:23
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings for the 2025–26 season.
If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures.
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the English Premier League standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official English Premier League tiebreaking procedures.
If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
US Lecce vs. AS Roma
Volume: $810,165
End: 06 Jan 2026, 17:00
Created: 24 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 6, 2026 between US Lecce and AS Roma.
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-06?
Which NBA players will be traded this season?
Volume: $768,288
End: 05 Feb 2026, 00:00
Created: 02 Dec 2025, 22:42
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?
F1 Constructors' Champion
Volume: $753,195
End: 06 Dec 2026, 00:00
Created: 08 Dec 2025, 23:53
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
NBA Defensive Player of the Year Winner
Volume: $714,657
End: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 22 Oct 2025, 05:25
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso
Volume: $709,311
End: 06 Jan 2026, 19:00
Created: 03 Jan 2026, 15:47
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:32
More information
This event is for the upcoming Africa Cup of Nations game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 6, 2026 between Côte d'Ivoire and Burkina Faso.
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC
Volume: $669,478
End: 06 Jan 2026, 20:00
Created: 24 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:31
More information
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 6, 2026 between West Ham United FC and Nottingham Forest FC.
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?
US Lecce vs. AS Roma - More Markets
Volume: $648,201
End: 06 Jan 2026, 17:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 06:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for January 6 at 12:00 PM ET.
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Volume: $439,676,483
End: 07 Nov 2028, 00:00
Created: 03 Jul 2025, 20:36
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Volume: $171,620,746
End: 07 Nov 2028, 00:00
Created: 08 Jul 2025, 19:05
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Will Person N win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Volume: $158,897,302
End: 07 Nov 2028, 00:00
Created: 10 Jul 2025, 16:58
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Fed decision in January?
Volume: $156,084,394
End: 28 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 17 Sep 2025, 16:22
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27 - 28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27 - 28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Volume: $133,627,202
End: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00
Created: 05 Aug 2025, 17:13
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Portugal Presidential Election
Volume: $86,534,284
End: 25 Jan 2026, 14:00
Created: 28 Jul 2025, 19:21
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?
Volume: $25,880,823
End: 06 Jan 2026, 17:00
Created: 27 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 30 12:00 PM ET to January 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Which coalition will form the next Dutch government?
Volume: $25,396,293
End: 31 Oct 2026, 00:00
Created: 13 Oct 2025, 23:55
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
The 2025 Dutch general election is scheduled to take place on October 29, 2025.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2025 Dutch general election.
If the next Dutch Government after the election is not announced by October 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No Coalition by October 31".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under non-caretaker circumstances.
The following parties will be to be considered for this market: PVV, GroenLinks–PvdA, VVD, CDA, D66, JA21. All other parties (including but not limited to SP, BBB, NSC, DENK, PvdD, FvD, SGP, CU, and Volt) will not be considered.
Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option (along with any other parties), that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition.
For example:
If the governing coalition includes GL–PvdA + VVD + CDA + JA21, but no option explicitly lists those four together, the market will resolve to “VVD + CDA + JA21”.
If the governing coalition includes PVV + VVD + CDA + D66, the option “PVV + VVD + CDA + D66” will resolve to “Yes”, while “PVV + VVD + CDA” will resolve to “No".
If the governing coalition does not match any listed option (e.g. the governing coalition is D66 + JA21) this market will resolve to “Other”.
In the event that multiple market options each contain an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected House of Representatives. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed coalition which received the greater number of valid votes.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of the Netherlands.
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?
What will happen before GTA VI?
Volume: $13,031,702
End: 31 Jul 2026, 12:00
Created: 02 May 2025, 14:55
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Epstein blackmail evidence released by...?
Volume: $10,791,594
End: 31 Mar 2026, 00:00
Created: 18 Nov 2025, 20:51
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased documents containing evidence that Jeffrey Epstein blackmailed any individual are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons.
Qualifying evidence that Epstein blackmailed any individual requires one of the following:
- A direct statement within the newly released files demonstrating that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that the newly released files show that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that Epstein used any materials released as part of the newly released files for blackmail.
General references to Epstein possessing damaging information, vague insinuations, or speculative commentary will not qualify.
Mentions of “leverage,” “influence,” “favors,” or similar language will not qualify unless clearly tied to the use or attempted use of compromising materials for blackmail as defined in this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the content of any released files and a consensus of credible reporting.
Blackmail is defined as any use or attempted use of compromising materials or information (such as photos, videos, documents, or incriminating knowledge) to coerce, extort, manipulate, or otherwise gain leverage over a specific person or persons.
Qualifying evidence that Epstein blackmailed any individual requires one of the following:
- A direct statement within the newly released files demonstrating that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that the newly released files show that Epstein blackmailed any individual or group.
- A clear consensus of credible reporting indicating that Epstein used any materials released as part of the newly released files for blackmail.
General references to Epstein possessing damaging information, vague insinuations, or speculative commentary will not qualify.
Mentions of “leverage,” “influence,” “favors,” or similar language will not qualify unless clearly tied to the use or attempted use of compromising materials for blackmail as defined in this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the content of any released files and a consensus of credible reporting.
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Volume: $10,587,333
End: 31 Mar 2026, 00:00
Created: 06 Sep 2025, 20:15
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Volume: $10,212,525
End: 31 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 03 Jan 2026, 07:47
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is taken into custody by the U.S. government at any point by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Maduro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Maduro, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Maduro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Maduro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Maduro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Maduro, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Maduro’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Maduro submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Maduro, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?
Volume: $10,153,448
End: 31 Dec 2025, 00:00
Created: 26 Aug 2025, 00:42
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Cook announces her resignation or otherwise ceases to be a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between August 25, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal made before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify.
Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Only official announcements of Cook's resignation or removal made before her term is scheduled to end, made by either Cook or the Board of Governors, will qualify. Announcements from Trump or his administration will not alone qualify.
Temporary absences or attempts at termination which do not actually remove Cook from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Volume: $7,978,457
End: 31 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 25 Nov 2025, 21:50
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Volume: $7,518,464
End: 31 Mar 2026, 00:00
Created: 09 Jul 2025, 22:53
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?
Volume: $6,561,784
End: 31 Mar 2026, 00:00
Created: 15 Aug 2025, 21:29
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Volume: $5,856,142
End: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00
Created: 24 Jul 2025, 23:09
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets January 2 - January 9, 2026?
Volume: $5,111,568
End: 09 Jan 2026, 17:00
Created: 30 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 2 12:00 PM ET to January 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Volume: $4,671,311
End: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00
Created: 24 Jul 2025, 22:43
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2025?
Volume: $4,337,724
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 05 Jan 2025, 00:33
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on the prediction of the number of people Trump will deport in 2025.
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by...?
Volume: $4,062,366
End: 31 Mar 2026, 00:00
Created: 24 Jun 2025, 18:37
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 27?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
Volume: $3,751,801
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 22 May 2025, 21:05
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on the likelihood of Russia capturing Kostyantynivka by a specific date.
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Epstein client list released by...?
Volume: $3,705,891
End: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 18 Nov 2025, 16:10
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if files which were not previously public and which pertain to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein are made public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and those files contain a list of individuals associated with Epstein in connection with his illegal activities, including but not limited to sex trafficking or related crimes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the files must contain names in a context equivalent to what is commonly referred to as Epstein’s “client list”—that is, a document that explicitly identifies a list or set of individuals as being directly connected to, participating in, facilitating, funding, soliciting, or otherwise being implicated in Jeffrey Epstein’s illegal activities.
A document may qualify even if it does not contain explicit incriminating language on its face, so long as credible reporting or accompanying official context confirms that the released document is an incriminating client list or functionally equivalent roster of individuals tied to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The following will not qualify:
- Flight logs, passenger manifests, visitor logs, or transportation records which merely show individuals traveling with, meeting with, or visiting Epstein without any explicit or contextual tie to criminal activity.
- Contact books, address lists, social calendars, guest lists, schedules, correspondence logs, or similar documents that include names solely due to social contact, proximity, acquaintance, or logistical interaction with Epstein.
- Any document listing individuals without accompanying language, context, or credible reporting that connects those individuals to Epstein’s illegal activity.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be the released files themselves and a consensus of credible reporting.
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Volume: $2,725,808
End: 10 Oct 2026, 00:00
Created: 15 Oct 2025, 21:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.
If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
Volume: $2,310,289
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 05 Feb 2025, 22:34
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value.
The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.
The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made.
This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by…?
Volume: $2,241,525
End: 31 Dec 2025, 00:00
Created: 07 Nov 2025, 19:57
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Myrnohrad by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Myrnohrad will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rodynske" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of Myrnohrad, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Myrnohrad Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qCLFQNiDKN2ABe5Q9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Myrnohrad will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Rodynske" with a darker grey line. If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, however the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Once Russia captures the entirety of Myrnohrad, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Myrnohrad Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/myrnohrad.jpeg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/qCLFQNiDKN2ABe5Q9
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?
Volume: $2,205,225
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 06 Feb 2025, 22:01
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.
An official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.
The April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.
An official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.
The April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Colombia Presidential Election
Volume: $1,877,817
End: 21 Jun 2026, 14:00
Created: 28 Jul 2025, 19:02
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Elon Musk musk # tweets in January 2026?
Volume: $1,839,075
End: 01 Feb 2026, 05:00
Created: 24 Dec 2025, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of January 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in January 2026?
How high will inflation get in 2025?
Volume: $1,823,136
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 07 Feb 2025, 16:33
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This is a market on predicting the rate of inflation in 2025.
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?
Elon Musk # tweets January 6 - January 13, 2026?
Volume: $1,810,670
End: 13 Jan 2026, 17:00
Created: 03 Jan 2026, 05:00
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 6 12:00 PM ET to January 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Volume: $1,776,045
End: 31 Dec 2026, 00:00
Created: 02 Sep 2025, 22:28
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States issues a decision that reverses, vacates, or otherwise overturns the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit’s August 29, 2025 decision in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump, in which the Federal Circuit held that the tariffs imposed by Executive Orders 14193, 14194, 14195, 14257, and 14266 exceeded the President’s authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) by December 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
If the Supreme Court dismisses the case as improvidently granted, denies certiorari, grants/vacates/remands without deciding the merits of IEEPA authorization, affirms by an equally divided Court, or vacates due to mootness, or if the parties settle the case this market will resolve to "No."
For purposes of this market, the government prevails if the Supreme Court rules on the merits that the tariffs are authorized under IEEPA, or otherwise reverses or vacates the Federal Circuit’s holding that they are unauthorized under IEEPA, regardless of whether the Court remands for further proceedings on issues such as remedy or scope of relief. The government does not prevail if the Supreme Court affirms the Federal Circuit’s decision that the tariffs are unauthorized by IEEPA, even if the Court modifies or vacates portions of the judgment relating only to remedy or injunctive relief.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the Supreme Court dismisses the case as improvidently granted, denies certiorari, grants/vacates/remands without deciding the merits of IEEPA authorization, affirms by an equally divided Court, or vacates due to mootness, or if the parties settle the case this market will resolve to "No."
For purposes of this market, the government prevails if the Supreme Court rules on the merits that the tariffs are authorized under IEEPA, or otherwise reverses or vacates the Federal Circuit’s holding that they are unauthorized under IEEPA, regardless of whether the Court remands for further proceedings on issues such as remedy or scope of relief. The government does not prevail if the Supreme Court affirms the Federal Circuit’s decision that the tariffs are unauthorized by IEEPA, even if the Court modifies or vacates portions of the judgment relating only to remedy or injunctive relief.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ukraine election held by...?
Volume: $1,732,134
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 13 Feb 2025, 23:40
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".
If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Macron out by...?
Volume: $1,718,071
End: 30 Jun 2026, 12:00
Created: 03 Jan 2025, 19:28
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Macron out in 2025?
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
Volume: $1,715,947
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 28 May 2025, 21:58
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Volume: $1,575,086
End: 03 Nov 2026, 00:00
Created: 11 Jul 2025, 19:29
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Will another party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Volume: $1,535,065
End: 31 Jan 2026, 00:00
Created: 03 Jan 2026, 08:08
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Starmer out by...?
Volume: $1,521,889
End: 31 Dec 2025, 12:00
Created: 03 Feb 2025, 18:12
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Starmer out in 2025?
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Volume: $1,367,347
End: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 03 Nov 2025, 14:51
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
US strikes Iran by...?
Volume: $1,341,422
End: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00
Created: 20 Dec 2025, 23:36
Updated: 06 Jan 2026, 20:30
More information
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?